Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 17.428738 19.780018 22.340785 25.338364 28.753243 32.524949 37.010338
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 14.176116 17.260099 20.867384 25.404314 30.967435 37.578586 46.050107
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 11.304784 14.657269 18.837684 24.446744 31.797762 41.134279 53.942119
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 9.113553 12.529417 17.051081 23.497584 32.492571 44.658344 62.464128
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.627938 11.085748 15.929963 23.247670 34.089271 49.665008 73.931725
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.548672 10.033232 15.185810 23.412216 36.322165 55.979746 88.515041
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.605807 9.028483 14.355258 23.319510 38.181789 62.107859 104.079625
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.006629 8.460085 14.106238 24.104079 41.587012 71.298612 126.467592
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.382533 7.748253 13.512915 24.224812 43.928981 79.189820 148.322735
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.736864 6.892840 12.539401 23.519246 44.705340 84.518383 166.720542
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.252408 6.247537 11.835126 23.184999 46.117816 91.299367 189.387175
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.964151 5.923804 11.675618 23.870127 49.651932 102.870609 224.291654
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.724729 5.668322 11.631336 24.837002 54.079034 117.391627 269.409570
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.442857 5.279113 11.255694 25.052826 56.985604 129.359056 311.876747
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.114889 4.736221 10.467928 24.227024 57.427420 135.998358 343.592866
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.834872 4.252054 9.728399 23.378681 57.669297 142.288112 376.207050
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.639941 3.930208 9.303537 23.203869 59.541022 153.009173 423.284814
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.494150 3.700437 9.056917 23.428335 62.498288 167.195120 483.729600
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.351547 3.454077 8.728596 23.384152 64.756798 180.087073 544.119366
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.267912 3.343753 8.724953 24.211671 69.620572 201.342511 635.637362
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.162499 3.157866 8.493013 24.366069 72.611236 217.954166 717.482207
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.035779 2.892301 8.001553 23.682234 72.974918 226.839961 776.748329
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.938276 2.691850 7.656474 23.366297 74.417654 239.460479 852.621272